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Fordisc and the determination of ancestry from cranial measurements

机译:Fordisc和通过颅骨测量确定血统

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摘要

Determining the ancestry of unidentified human remains is a major task for bioarchaeologists and forensic anthropologists. Here, we report an assessment of the computer program that has become the main tool for accomplishing this task. Called Fordisc, the program determines ancestry through discriminant function analysis of cranial measurements. We evaluated the utility of Fordisc with 200 specimens of known ancestry. We ran the analyses with and without the test specimen's source population included in the program's reference sample, and with and without specifying the sex of the test specimen. We also controlled for the possibility that the number of variables employed affects the program's ability to attribute ancestry. The results of the analyses suggest that Fordisc's utility in research and medico-legal contexts is limited. Fordisc will only return a correct ancestry attribution when an unidentified specimen is more or less complete, and belongs to one of the populations represented in the program's reference samples. Even then Fordisc can be expected to classify no more than 1 per cent of specimens with confidence.
机译:确定身份不明的人类遗骸的祖先是生物考古学家和法医人类学家的一项主要任务。在这里,我们报告对计算机程序的评估,该评估已成为完成此任务的主要工具。该程序称为Fordisc,它通过对颅骨测量值进行判别函数分析来确定祖先。我们用200个已知祖先的标本评估了Fordisc的实用性。我们在分析程序的参考样本中包含和不包含测试样本的源总体的情况下进行了分析,并带有或不指定了测试样本的性别。我们还控制了所使用变量的数量会影响程序归属祖先的能力的可能性。分析结果表明,Fordisc在研究和法医学环境中的效用是有限的。仅当一个身份不明的样本或多或少完整且属于该程序的参考样本中所代表的种群之一时,Fordisc才会返回正确的血统归属。即使到那时,也可以期望Fordisc能够可靠地对不超过1%的样本进行分类。

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